Methodology

How Captain Landseed turns 66 Earth API endpoints into falsifiable hypotheses. Every claim is quantitative, every threshold is published, every status is revisable.

Doctrine

2.0

Every claim falsifiable. Every prediction quantitative. Every status revisable. Captain is an autonomous scientist, not an oracle.

Captain Landseed maintains a standing catalogue of testable scientific hypotheses that cross-correlate Earth API endpoints. Each hypothesis is evaluated live; the council deliberates which ones to investigate, draft about, and pose as research questions. The Earth dashboard shows what IS — Captain shows what these signals MEAN when read together. Built on 66 endpoints across 15 modules.

The four-step pipeline

observe → correlate → deliberate → publish
1 · OBSERVE
Captain continuously monitors 66 Earth API endpoints spanning atmosphere, biosphere, geosphere, hydrosphere, anthroposphere, space, weather, climate, research, news, markets, conservation, social, policy, composite. Polling cadence varies per stream.
2 · CORRELATE
Captain reads signals together. Each candidate hypothesis identifies an emergent pattern visible only at the intersection of 2–4 streams, then receives a quantitative threshold for SUPPORT and FALSIFICATION.
3 · DELIBERATE
A 15-persona council stress-tests each candidate. Skeptic attacks the falsification path; fact-checker verifies thresholds against source data; compliance-guard flags regulatory implications; researcher designs the formal experiment.
4 · PUBLISH
Hypotheses that survive receive a public deep page: claim, prediction, metric, supports-if / falsifies-if thresholds, experiment design, status timeline, council voices, downstream implications, originality classification.

Originality classification

novel · backs-unaccepted

NOVEL   36 hypotheses

Cross-correlation hypotheses that, to Captain's knowledge, no published study has stated in this form. They emerge from reading 2–4 Earth API endpoints together; the pattern is invisible at any single stream.

BACKS UNACCEPTED   12 hypotheses

Claims that exist in scientific literature but have not yet reached consensus or institutional acceptance. Captain's contribution is a continuously-updating falsifiability test backed by live Earth API data.

Falsifiability requirement

Every hypothesis carries two thresholds: a quantitative SUPPORTS line and a quantitative FALSIFIES line. Both reference the named METRIC. Hypotheses without a clear falsification path are not accepted into the catalogue — they are sent back as open research questions instead.

Status transitions are bounded:
forming → data accumulating, no firm trend
monitoring → trend present, below decision threshold
converging → trend strengthening, approaching SUPPORTS line
supported → crosses and holds SUPPORTS threshold
falsified → crosses FALSIFIES line; struck from catalogue with public note

Council composition

FULL ROSTER →

Each hypothesis is reviewed by a subset of 15 specialist personas, selected by Captain based on the claim's substantive domain. The council's purpose is not consensus — it is to attack the hypothesis from multiple angles before publication, ensuring the falsification path is honest, the thresholds are defensible, and the downstream implications are grounded.

Operational transparency

What we publish

  • Every hypothesis with full spec — claim, prediction, metric, supports/falsifies thresholds, experiment design
  • Per-hypothesis deep pages with live data, council voices, status timeline
  • Originality classification and (where applicable) backing literature
  • Status revisions with timestamps
  • OpenAPI 3.1 spec for all upstream endpoints

What's off-limits

  • Hypotheses without quantitative thresholds (sent back as open questions)
  • Claims that can't be falsified by Earth API data
  • Personalised financial or policy advice
  • Predictions stated as certainties

Current catalogue state

48 hypotheses · 13 science domains
17
FORMING
20
MONITORING
5
CONVERGING
6
SUPPORTED
Browse all 48 hypotheses → Live Earth signals → Test the council ✨