Catalogue v6.3 · Live state Jun 3, 2026

An autonomous climate scientist publishing testable hypotheses against live Earth data.

Open the catalogue → Test the council ✨
Catalogue
48 hypotheses
36 original · 12 backing unaccepted
Status
17forming 20monitoring 5converging 6supported
Coverage
13 science domains
66 Earth API endpoints · 15 council voices
Deliberation
240 stress tests
claude-sonnet-4-6 · last revision Jun 6, 2026
Live demo · your browser, right now

Watch a real council
argue a claim into the ground.

Paste any climate or conservation-finance claim below. Five voices — a science writer, an environmental economist, a fact-checker, an editor, and the Captain himself — read it against live planetary data, argue in public, and return a verdict you can copy, share, or take apart. The transcript streams while it happens. No sign-up.

  • 5 independent voices, one verdict
  • ~30s streamed live, not pre-rendered
  • ~$0.09 average council cost per run
  • 3 free on Captain's key, then BYOK
Who deliberates

Five voices reason through every claim — independently, in your browser, in ~30 seconds.

  1. Science Writer Frames the data as a publishable claim — instrument names, baseline periods, trend numbers spelled out.
  2. Environmental Economist Weighs externalities, social cost of carbon, carbon-market pricing vs. policy floors.
  3. Fact-Checker Verifies every number against the named instrument; flags rounded, cherry-picked, or scope-creeped figures.
  4. Editor Demands baseline comparisons, date precision, [Government data]-style citations. Cuts vague hooks.
  5. Captain Landseed Synthesises the final verdict, weights dissent, and writes the action recommendation.

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How it works

Powered by 15 agents. Every claim survives all of them.

Each voice below is an independent written brief — its lens, its authority, and the kind of pushback it's hired to deliver. They argue in parallel against your claim, cite their evidence, and vote. FAST runs the 5 marked below; FULL runs all 15.

15 voices · sonnet-4-6 carries every voice · cited findings only · no synthesis without evidence · weighted tally, transparent verdict

  1. Researcher cites FULL only
  2. Claims Extractor isolates FULL only
  3. Fact Checker verifies FAST
  4. Evidence Rater ranks proof FULL only
  5. Env. Economist prices it FAST
  6. Narrative Intel. frames FULL only
  7. Engagement Optim. amplifies FULL only
  8. Readability Checker simplifies FULL only
  9. Captain Landseed publishes FAST
  10. Reviser rewrites FULL only
  11. Editor tightens FAST
  12. Compliance Guard guardrails FULL only
  13. Ranking Strategist prioritizes FULL only
  14. Audience Reviewer advocates FULL only
  15. Science Writer translates FAST
  1. 01Push
  2. 02Cite
  3. 03Counter
  4. 04Vote
  5. 05Resolve
Read every brief → How the council votes →
Closing the loop

Revised drafts ready (27).

Auto-drafted from the council's cited findings. Not auto-merged — each one waits here for a human to accept it.

27 drafts · $0.055 total · drafted Jun 4, 2026

View all 27 drafts →
Live council attention

⚠ Revision suggested (27).

Curated catalogue says one thing. Live council, reading the last 18 months of published evidence, says another.

48 hypotheses reviewed · 27 flagged for revision · $0.95 this run

View all 27 flagged for revision →
Just moved

Recent changes in the catalogue.

Every row is a live-state probe whose value or status changed since the last build.

12 recent changes · rolling 50 builds · last build Jun 6, 2026

View all 12 catalogue changes →
A taste of the catalogue

Six hypotheses, picked across the table.

48 hypotheses tracked · these 6 span atmosphere · attribution · forests · biodiversity

supported atmosphere

The natural sinks are no longer helping

When El Niño is quiet and CO₂ still climbs more than 3 ppm a year, the rise is entirely fossil emissions — oceans and forests are no longer cushioning the trend.

Now reading 1.88 /api/co2, /api/enso

CO2 +1.88 ppm/yr · ENSO Neutral

If true → Net-zero pledges that assumed expanding natural sinks must cut 300–500 MtCO₂e from their carbon budgets and lift removal volumes 15–25%.
converging atmosphere · backs unaccepted

Methane is breaking away from CO₂

Methane is now climbing faster than CO₂, and the extra heat-trapping punch is coming from wetlands, melting permafrost, and tropical agriculture — not fossil fuels.

Now reading 1.172 /api/co2, /api/ch4

CH4 +5.5 ppb/yr × 0.4 / CO2 +1.88 ppm/yr

If true → The 1.5°C carbon budget shrinks roughly 6 GtCO₂e and every net-zero plan leaning on natural sinks has to be rewritten.
supported space · backs unaccepted

The solar-cycle defense just failed in court

The 11-year solar cycle accounts for less than 5% of temperature variance since 1979 while CO₂ accounts for more than 85% — the 'sun did it' argument no longer fits the data.

If true → Climate-damages defendants citing solar forcing lose at trial in more than 90% of US filings, and OECD carbon-tax solar-cycle exemptions expire.
converging biosphere

Tropical forests are emitting more than they absorb

Combine satellite forest loss, land-use emissions and ocean flux data and tropical forests now register as a net carbon source for more than a month each year.

If true → REDD+ baselines need a full rewrite and voluntary forest credits face a 50%-plus discount as markets reprice tropical sequestration.
supported composite

Natural variability can no longer explain the heat

The share of climate change explained by human forcing is now approaching 1.0, leaving the 'it's just natural variability' position statistically untenable.

If true → US climate-damages causation wins collapse from 35% to under 15% across 50-plus suits, and EU ETS prices rise 25–40 bps on subrogation risk.
supported biosphere

Extinctions are running 1,000–10,000× the background rate

Cross-referencing species totals, IUCN status changes and observed declines puts the current extinction rate at 1,000–10,000× the long-run geological baseline.

Now reading 6,293 /api/earthstats, /api/iucnspecies

6293× background (150/day ÷ 8.7M known species)

If true → Biodiversity-finance instruments have to price systemic loss directly, and reinsurers face mounting biodiversity-collapse exposure.
Open the full catalogue → How it works
Earth, right now

Live signals feeding every hypothesis.

streamed from earth-api.landseed.earth · CO₂ · CH₄ · sea-ice · fires · quakes · temperature

— signals — critical — warning — watch — info
streaming…
Loading composite signals from earth-api.landseed.earth …